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I have seen no poll in the last two weeks that has given Romney the lead. Obama back up by 2.3 on average now.
Move on means FIGHT ON!
So I guess Art Schlister is out?
Tous pour un, un pour tous
So is Woody Hayes.
Now Woody is out..only if he is one of the Walking Dead!
Time for liberals to start panicking.
Ohio, my 3rd favorite state in The Union.
Hopefully the good people of that great state can come through for my guy, President Obama.
Looks like "your guy" is losing steam in the fine state of OH.
Not a liberal and not panicking but you are cherry picking.. the big fat right one too.
Not going to bother you with house lean but try these
PPP is as left as Rassmusen is right and has Obama +4
Gravis has Obama +1
ARG Obama + 2
CNN Obama + 4
Purple Strategies Obama +2
Time Obama +5
Pharos Obama +5
PPP is officially recognized as the polling arm of the Democratic party.
You may see Rasmussen as conservative in nature, but it is not affiliated with the GOP in anywhere near the same way as PPP.
To say so hurts your credibility.
If you notice there has been about a two point trending up for Obama and Romney since the debate bump stopped.
And if you believe that.....
Great land investment below.....hurry!
No need for you to identify your political affiliation. The liberal talking point regarding Ohio has been for weeks that there has been no poll showing Romney leading in Ohio. You even starting a thread with such sentiment. My post just refuted that point. Now, you need to shift your argument to something else. I expect by this time next week, the argument will have something to do with George W Bush.
On this board, I have been the most vocal critic of the polls during this election season, both while they were favoring Obama and now that they have switched to favoring Romney.
The fact that they had been using dated turnout models and more recently have been using constantly shifting samples of political representation without accounting for the "enthusiasm" gap has made them incredibly unreliable. Additionally the fact that their sampling has been such a moving target, makes their result almost impossible to use to evaluate trends.
All I can say is that this election will be won/lost based on turnout...the polls mean very little right now.
Are there any national polls which show Obama ahead?
Krauthammer just said it is inconcievable to think Romney would win the popular vote by 3+ percentage points and lose the electoral college. I have no idea if that is accurate - just relaying what he said.
As for Ohio, I was very critical of team Romney for failing to respond to the Obama attack ads a couple of months ago. It has completely changed. On both the radio and tv, Romney ads are being aired at a rate of probably 3:1. Romney has saved his money and is now bombarding the airways with ads.
Romney had to be smart with his money, considering that he did not think he would be able to match the Obama fundraising machine.
He has been fortunate that he not only kept pace, but exceeded Obama's efforts for most of the campaign. He now has the reserves in place to outspend the POTUS.
Further evidence that Mitt is simply way better with money, and superior to the president's (admitted)7th grade math education.
I believe the 1st debate success generated nearly $125K
This is just a hobby of mine. I have been doing it for 12 years now for sure... maybe longer. I believe I started the thread tongue in cheek in response to all of the funny emotions surrounding Ohio and especially for information not gleaned from cable news or the radio. Nothing I post is a forecast, it is just the current collection of a whole lot more data than say RCP has and has been synthesized by people much wiser than me.
Sorry if you felt slighted.
Henceforth I will just post synthesized polls and graphs.
Yes it can happen and I think personally it would be a disaster. Especially if the EC vote was close too.
It would not be good for our country.
Ohio has some of the best restaurants . The fifteen pounds I've gained in the last couple of months will verify that.
If I recall your other posts, you ocassionally frequent Lima. There is an outstanding hole in the wall Thai restaurant which BYOB. I highly recommend it.
RaSMusSeN NoW HaS RoMNeY Up 50%-48% In OhIO!!!
RoMNeY WIILLL WiN ThiS STaTE.
ThE GrOuNd GaME HerE FoR Mr. RoMNeY, Is SoMeThInG BEEEA-UUU-TIEEE-FUULLLLLL To BeHoLd.
MeMBeR SiNcE 9/11/2011
MaY GOD BLesS ThE U.S.C. TROJAN'S, AnD AMeRiCA,---FoR ALLL ETeRNiTY!!!
I didn't frequent Lima, but a lot of my business was centered between there and Toledo. BD is the guy from Lima.
I ThInK TomMY Is FroM NoRTh LiMA, WhIcH Is On ThE EaSTeRN ParT Of ThE STaTE, ArOuND ThE CaNToN/YoUnGsToWN AreA!!!
Also, some of my favorite friends (people I actually consider family) either live in, or were born and raised in the Celina and Coldwater areas.
William Taft was an Official President from Ohio and like many of the other great people I have noticed the last few days up here in the Buckeye state while visiting my twin sister and my nieces, he was also a tad bit overweight due to the great food here. That's all
Feelings get hurt, best not to have any!
12 years? Wow. After that amount of time, you should be a bit better at it.
Grow some balls. Don't let a timid Asian from Hawaii bully you into changing how you post.
RCP average for Ohio today is at Obama 1.9
RCP average for Ohio's final vote in 2008 2.5 but actual count was 4.6
Obama didn't overwhelm Ohio in 2008.
Simple arithmetic would mean RCP should probably add 2.1 now just to cover their Ohio error propensity.
If they did that would be more than Franklin, Silver, or Cook.
Right now Ohio should be a tossup at 2.8 Obama
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