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i know UCLA is the chic pick this week but I just want to focus on some basic things here.
1. The media is two things in my eyes. Blantantly liberal and blatantly against Lane Kiffin. Only the latter applies here. This is a media that is just frothing at the mouth to have Lane lose this game and his job. Is his job in jeopardy this year? Not even close and not even a thought in Heritage Hall. This is what Scott Wolf and his gay caballeros seem to focus on which is something that he picked up watching ESPIN. If you dont know the ESPIN game, it is make up a story and site unnamed sources(protecting your first amendment rights) and then that gives you something to talk about on your 24 hour sports talk shows for about a week and then move onto something else. Has anyone ever kept score of how many ESPIN rumors or Scott Wolf rumors come true? It is probably the same as Scott Schraders percentage with hot asian nurses. I am convinced that this Lane could get fired crap is made up by our local media who hate him and the national media who hate him from his SEC days.
2. USC is the best team UCLA has faced this year by far. USC has faced at least two teams better than UCLA this year. The media and local wannabe prognoticators seem to be forgetting that. UCLA hasnt seen this speed on the field. Ask yourself the question: what would UCLA's record be with USC's schedule? I know that USC would be undefeated with UCLA's schedule. I think we would be looking at a four loss UCLA team.
3. I read Rich's concerns and I share some of them but not all of them. Sports, like boxing is about styles because after all styles make fights. Lets look at some matchups that the media is forgetting about.
4. Their cornerbacks are bad and our wide receivers are by far the best in the nation. IF USC uses their third WR(Nelson) and TE's then this matchup is something that UCLA cannot overcome. IF UCLA gets to Matt then this changes, if it doesnt then it is game over-simple as that. Everyone who seriously evals football can tell you that UCLA should be scared of this matchup.
5.UCLA oline versus USC dline. UCLA has very little talent here and start three freshmen on the oline. These are not highly recruited or talented players and everyone at UCLA has tried to mask this defiencey all year due to the talent gap. IF USC plays aggressive, and everyone believes they will from now on our dline will dominate this oline. USC has 37 sacks and is among the nations leaders in that category and tackles for losses. I think Jetski is a great back and Hundley is a good young quarterback, but they have not faced a dline like this one. Utah has a great dtackle and they held UCLA to a very low scoring game. USC's line is better and deeper than UCLA's. Too many people are believing that this will be a high scoring game, but with this oline against the dline matchup I dont see it. Mazzone will try to attack horizontally and quickly and if Monte is in one of his bend and then break moods then we will have trouble. If we go after them and get them in predictable third down situations then we will tee off on Hundley.
UCLA Wr versus USC dbacks. - one thing USC can do is cover Tight ends well with TJ and Dion Bailey as proven against Washington and Stanford. UCLA doesnt have any speed or gamebreakers at this position and I expect to see Nikell go one on one to lock his guy up and UCLA will rarely challenge this matchup. Shaw should play press coverage and have safety backup, in other words you can double team if Nikell is matching his guy up. I think this is an advantage USC has that the local media is once again forgetting about.
USC needs to recognize that we have the elite athletes and just let them play. Monte has been coaching defense this year like Mike Brown was coaching offense and last week Monte changed his tune. Lets hope it stays that way. If it does USC will roll.
Offensively, I think we run at them-especially off tackle where they are light and their linebackers are slow. Screens , especially the middle ones will be effective.
Lastly, to quote the late Loel Schrader "those that dont like Lane Kiffin have never met Lane Kiffin". Keep that in mind when listening to most national media and many local media. The kids and their parents love Lane Kiffin.
Winning the academic award in the SEC is sort of like winning the special olympics. Even if you win, you are still a retard.
I am definitely looking forward to tomorrow. This game should be a decent barometer for the following two (hopefully three) games.
I love Lane too....
Thanks Kobe...great work! I feel much better about our chances...
"It's what a brother would do for another brother"
Good stuff FK.
Bottom line, is that UCLA weaknesses are Trojan strengths.
This is a very bad matchup for the Ruins.
If trenches and turnovers are kept in check by USC, this one won't be close.
I think UCLA would have 2 losses, Stanford and Oregon, I don't know where you are seeing 2 others.
I think USC would probably have 1 loss, either to Oregon St or Nebraska, both are better teams than anyone USC has beaten to this point.
I think USC wins somewhat easy pulling away in the 3rd quarter.
Great post as usual, Kobe. I would love to blow them out and be done with it. UCLA can go 0-11 every year for all I care.
Follow Me on Twitter: @OriginalRichSC
I'd think they'd lose to Washington. USC is the only football team -- college or pro -- to win in the Clink this year. And they'd have their loss to Cal. So there you go -- 4 losses.
You are right about the Cal game, so that would be 3. I wouldn't be so sure they would lose to Washington.
Washington @ home beat two teams I'd consider superior to ucla -- Stanford and Oregon State. What makes you think ucla would get it done when those two couldn't?
Because I don't think it works like that, just like USC lost to Stanford, who then lost at Washington, so you would think Washington would beat USC right?
They certainly could lose, I just wouldn't mark it down as automatic, just like playing Cal, if they were playing at home they might win right?
Well it's all hypothetical, isn't it? That's the team that I'd think was the 4th loss. Free Kobe might be thinking of another one.
They only beat Utah by one TD in the Rose Bowl -- maybe if they were playing in Utah that score would be reversed.
But I don't think it's a coincidence no one else has won up there in Seattle. I was at the game -- it got loud in a nanosecond. I could see how it could be a pretty good home field advantage.
They already got their ass kicked by Cal, so I'm guessing that would be loss #3, not sure where 4 would come from either, but those discussions are useless, I think USC will score 40+, and UCLA will have a tough time getting to 30, so your score sounds good.
Great breakdown FK. I think the spread on this game is way off.
It also wouldnt suprise me if they beat Stanford next week. I think the biggest thing is to get up on them early and not let them hang around like Stanford or Arizona. It will build confidence, but if they race out to a 14-0 or 21-3 lead, memories of last year will surely start to come back.
If you are using past games to indicate future or hypothetical results I can look forward to you picking Oregon to beat USC by 17+ in Eugene, since they already won by 11 at USC. That is how it works right?
While I agree with the post, UCLA did destroy an Arizona team that beat us, albeit their win was at home and our loss was on the road. I think the bottom line is this - if we don't lose the turnover battle for what would be an astounding 4th game in a row, we will win. They are good enough, and we are not good enough to overcome losing that important variable again as we did against UA, Oregon and ASU.
i agree 100% with your post, but the big difference between USC vs UA and UCLA vs UA was a healthy Matt Scott. i know some will debate this, but Scott went into the UCLA game all ready concussed... i said this in another thread that UCLA has had the benefit to face some teams without their star players. i know and understand that injuries happen, but it will affect how the teams plays and responds.
wtf are you talking about?
You think since UCLA already got killed at Cal they would lose again if they played at home right? Do you feel the same way about USC playing at Oregon?
LOL. USC would smoke Nebraska at home and they would beat Oregon state at homee. Ucla would struggle at Utah, Washington, and Arizona with a healthy Matt Scott playing. Ucla thus far had had tj easiest schedule I have ever seen in the pac 22 south ucla would lose at least one of those three games and i am being charitable. .
UCLA scored 66 points and TD's on all 6 1st half possessions. A healthy Matt Scott wasn't going to play defense that night.
No, I was trying to figure out what games UCLA would have lost with USC's schedule since FreeKobe mentioned he thought they'd have 4 losses. I thought he'd consider Cal as 1 of those 4 losses. It wouldnt mean they'd play twice. Take it easy chief, dont get too excited. I'm picking USC to beat UCLA, ND and Oregon though, if you must know.
Ucla doesn't play at Oregon this year so I have no idea where that is coming from.
Honestly, the biggest issue USC will face this weekend will be the rain. If it's pouring, that hurts our passing game, which is our biggest strength against ucla, (not to mention that it could continue our turnover woes) and may help even the game out. Let's hope for dry weather.
This post was edited by ToesOnTheNose 17 months ago
Ucla at Syracuse 3000 miles away then comes home to play at Stanford and at Washington. They lose at least two of those.
Utah missed Oregon and Stanford the last 2 years, no one had it easier than them.
They wouldn't play twice, but you are using a past result to assume what would have happened if they played at home this year.
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